LEADING SIRES BY AVERAGE TIMEFORM RATING OF BEST TEN HORSES
(Standing for up to £15,000 in 2024)
Name |
Born |
Fee 24 |
Sire |
AvT10 TFR |
Top Rated |
TFR |
Oasis Dream |
2000 |
£15,000 |
Green Desert |
125.3 |
Muhaarar |
130 |
Holy Roman Emperor |
2004 |
€8,000 |
Danehill |
122.1 |
Designs On Rome |
130 |
Iffraaj |
2001 |
£10,000 |
Zafonic |
120.6 |
My Prospero, Ribchester |
129 |
Motivator |
2002 |
€5,000 |
Montjeu |
119.9 |
Treve |
134 |
Footstepsinthesand |
2002 |
€8,000 |
Giant's Causeway |
119.4 |
Beauty Flame, Heshem, Pure Champion |
123 |
Equiano |
2005 |
€2,000 |
Acclamation |
118.6 |
The Tin Man |
126 |
Kendargent |
2003 |
€15,000 |
Kendor |
118.3 |
Skaletti |
124 |
Intello |
2010 |
€8,000 |
Galileo |
117.9 |
Young Rascal |
125 |
Raven's Pass |
2005 |
€7,500 |
Elusive Quality |
117.8 |
Matterhorn |
123 |
Lawman |
2004 |
€4,000 |
Invincible Spirit |
117.4 |
Harbour Law |
119 |
Muhaarar |
2012 |
€14,000 |
Oasis Dream |
116.7 |
Eshaada |
120 |
Golden Horn |
2012 |
£10,000 |
Cape Cross |
114.2 |
Trawlerman |
124 |
Make Believe |
2012 |
€10,000 |
Makfi |
113 |
Mishriff |
131 |
Bated Breath |
2007 |
£10,000 |
Dansili |
112.5 |
Space Traveller |
118 |
Territories |
2012 |
£10,000 |
Invincible Spirit |
112.2 |
Aldaary |
124 |
Awtaad |
2013 |
€5,000 |
Cape Cross |
111.3 |
Anmaat |
125 |
Ulysses |
2013 |
£9,000 |
Galileo |
111 |
Mighty Ulysses |
117 |
Twilight Son |
2012 |
£6,000 |
Kyllachy |
109.5 |
Twilight Calls |
117 |
Kodi Bear |
2012 |
€15,000 |
Kodiac |
108.6 |
Go Bears Go |
116 |
Belardo |
2012 |
£5,500 |
Lope de Vega |
108.5 |
Gold Phoenix |
120 |
Almanzor |
2013 |
€10,000 |
Wootton Bassett |
107 |
Lassaut |
118 |
Goken |
2012 |
€15,000 |
Kendargent |
106.2 |
Fang |
115 |
Cotai Glory |
2012 |
€12,500 |
Exceed and Excel |
105.8 |
Atomic Force |
112 |
Bungle Inthejungle |
2010 |
€7,500 |
Exceed and Excel |
105.3 |
Winter Power |
123 |
Zelzal |
2013 |
€10,000 |
Sea the Stars |
104.5 |
Dolce Zel |
112 |
Galileo Gold |
2013 |
€7,000 |
Paco Boy |
101.3 |
Ebro River |
113 |
Such is the clamour for access to the top commercial sires these days that a very high proportion of mares end up getting covered by a stallion too expensive for their own pedigree. It’s remarkable that, every autumn, approaching four out of every ten mares sold in-foal don’t make enough money to cover the advertised stud fee of the covering sire. More than ever, it is important to look for value among the stallion ranks. To this end, it might be productive to run the rule over those sires standing for up to £15,000 or €15,000 and examine them through the lens of how good their best ten horses are according to their Timeform ratings.
Stallions available at 15k or less tend to fall into two groups, those that are no longer considered commercial for whatever reason and those starting out which are still on many people’s watch lists. Among the former group are some veteran stallions that have proven themselves beyond all doubt and are being shunned simply because of their age.
At the top of the table is Oasis Dream who has all the hallmarks of a top-class sire. His average of 125.3 for his best ten runners puts him firmly in the elite category, as does his percentage of Stakes winners to runners, which is hovering at around 9%, an excellent return for a speed sire. Can he still deliver the goods? That is the question we have to ask ourselves. Now 24 years old, the former Champion Sprinter has proved through his top-class son Native Trail – conceived when his sire was 18 – and his Group 2 Vintage Stakes winner Marbaan – conceived when Oasis Dream was 20 – that his age may not be such a risk factor. Then you have the added reassurance that he’s a truly top-class broodmare sire, so his daughters have a great residual value.
Holy Roman Emperor has always been among the less expensive go-to sires and he has a proven ability to produce top quality stock.
Whereas Oasis Dream may have slid further down the commercial scale, Coolmore’s Holy Roman Emperor has always been among the less expensive proven go-to sires. His top-class Hong Kong sons Designs On Rome (rated 130 by Timeform), and Beauty Only (rated 125), are perfect advertisements for his ability as a sire and contribute significantly to his top-ten average of 122.1. He has to be great value at just €8,000, particularly as he’s proved he retains the ability to sire nice horses such as last year’s Group 3-winning juvenile Geography, plus the Group 3-placed Great Generation.
Darley’s Iffraaj, the sire of the red-hot Wootton Bassett, is another proven veteran. One of his two top-rated runners, My Prospero, winner of the Group 2 Prix Eugene Adam and like his sire’s Ribchester rated 129 by Timeform, was foaled as recently as 2019. This just goes to show that if you have a good mare, Iffraaj can come up with a very good horse.
Raven’s Pass is another Darley stallion worthy of consideration in that he always delivers a very high proportion of Stakes winners for his fee level at just €7,500. Sire of horses of the calibre of Matterhorn (Timeform 123) and crack Japanese sprinter Tower Of London (Timeform 122), plus Group 1-winning two-year-old Royal Marine, he’s even got a juvenile Stakes winner from his 2021 crop in Son Of Corballis, winner of the Tipperary Stakes. Moreover, his sire line has had a productive start to the year with his paternal half-brothers Quality Road and Bullbars supplying Group 1 Pegasus World Cup winner National Treasure and Group 1 C F Orr Stakes winner Mr Brightside respectively.
Among the younger fully exposed sires is Muhaarar, who’s enjoying a bit of a renaissance at his new home, Haras du Petit Tellier, after his son Marhaba Ya Sanafi, won the Group 1 Poule d’Essai des Poulains last year to become his sire’s second top level winner. It is now clear that this top-class sprinter by Oasis Dream is anything other than a speed influence as his stamina index of 8.6 furlongs and his highest-rated runner is the mile-and-a-half Group 1-winning Eshaada would suggest. Interestingly, his daughters feature a very respectable 8.4% Stakes winners to runners and it is not beyond to bounds of possibility that many of his earlier well-bred daughters will become good broodmares, as was the case with his own sire Oasis Dream.
Muhaarar, sire of last year’s French 2000 Guineas winner Marhaba Ya Sanafi, is enjoying a bit of a renaissance since his move to France.
There are not many on our list that have sired what Timeform consider a ‘very high-class’ horse, those rated from 125 to 129. One that has is Derrinstown Stud’s Awtaad in the shape of Group 1 Prix d’Ispahan winner Anmaat from a very productive first crop that featured six Stakes winners in total from 77 runners (7.8%). His other Group 1 scorer is the Timeform 113-rated Anisette from her sire’s third crop, who scored a top level double on America’s west coast last year in the Del Mar Oaks and American Oaks.
Another sire with this distinction is the Irish National Stud’s Equiano, available for only €2,000. This son of Acclamation is value even within this group given that he’s responsible for a top ten average of 118.6 and has the very high-class The Tin Man (TF126) as his top horse, while the fact that Make Believe can sire one as good as Mishriff (TF131) must also bring him into consideration at his €10,000 fee, given that his biggest and one of his best crops race this year as two-year-olds.
Territories, who stands at £10,000, has a high-class horse on his resumé in the shape of the Timeform 124-rated Aldaary, plus the excellent Group 1 winners Rougir and Regional. Then there is Bated Breath, who tends to produce Stakes horses at a level way above what his £10,000 would suggest. I would also mention Belardo at £5,500 because he too is about to be represented by his best-ever crop, conceived the year after he’d sired three first-crop Group-winning juveniles. Finally among this group, Ulysses also has two strong crops about to take the stage, as will have Cotai Glory, who covered his best set of mares last spring which ought to protect any 2024 investment in the son of Exceed And Excel.
Calyx had four sons rated 100 or higher in his first crop and covered a large number of quality mares in 2023.
Among the sires available for 15k or less this spring that were represented with their first runners last year are four that have already sired a Timeform 100-rated runner. This group will be very much under the spotlight this term, as they will be expected to show their stock can progress markedly from two to three, before they are deemed to have done enough to earn the continued support of commercial breeders.
Top of the pile is Kingman’s son Calyx who has four colts rated 100 or higher. Commercial breeders actually gave a big thumbs up to the Group 2 Coventry winner last spring, substantially increasing the number and quality of his mares and all before he had had a runner. In the event, he didn’t disappoint, siring two Group 2 winners and a Group 3 winner, plus Group 1 Dewhurst third Eben Shaadad, his highest rated at 109.
Soldier’s Call also assembled a talented bunch of two-year-olds last term, headed by Group 3 Prix Eclipse winner Dawn Charger (Timeform 102). We are also entitled to expect more from the first three-year-olds by Lope de Vega’s Irish 2,000 Guineas winner Phoenix Of Spain, sire of Group 2 Vintage Stakes winner Hateem, as well as those by Lanwades’ Deep Impact stallion Study Of Man, who has a live Classic contender in the shape of the Timeform 108-rated Group 2 Beresford Stakes winner Deepone. Advertise and the Invincible Spirit duo of Inns Of Court (sire of the 100-rated Listed winner Megarry), and Invincible Army are all also competitively priced based on the 2023 achievements.
LEADING FIRST-CROP 2023 SIRES BY AVERAGE TIMEFORM RATING OF BEST TEN HORSES
(Standing for up to £15,000 in 2024)
Name |
Born |
Fee 24 |
Sire |
AvT10 TFR |
Top Rated |
TFR |
Calyx |
2016 |
€12,500 |
Kingman |
96.4 |
Eben Shaddad |
109 |
Soldier's Call |
2016 |
£8,500 |
Showcasing |
90.9 |
Dawn Charger |
102 |
Phoenix of Spain |
2016 |
€10,000 |
Lope de Vega |
88.2 |
Haatem |
98 |
Inns of Court |
2014 |
€5,000 |
Invincible Spirit |
87.4 |
Megarry |
100 |
Magna Grecia |
2016 |
€10,000 |
Invincible Spirit |
86.4 |
Neapolitan |
93 |
Advertise |
2016 |
£10,000 |
Showcasing |
85.6 |
Matters Most |
94 |
Invincible Army |
2015 |
€5,000 |
Invincible Spirit |
85.3 |
Kitty Rose |
93 |
Study of Man |
2015 |
£12,500 |
Deep Impact |
83.4 |
Deepone |
108 |
Masar |
2015 |
£10,000 |
New Approach |
80.2 |
Golden West |
91 |